Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 23.131297 26.278719 29.711499 33.735839 38.327641 43.407432 49.458632
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 18.630463 22.728730 27.535263 33.597566 41.053523 49.941847 61.369222
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.198861 19.765863 25.483395 33.187412 43.330300 56.274672 74.123423
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.843349 17.730965 24.235731 33.563392 46.661016 64.494250 90.784389
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.103084 16.217999 23.430662 34.403923 50.789337 74.527278 111.850671
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.548047 14.707049 22.389723 34.751996 54.322999 84.406315 134.722473
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.555508 13.864498 22.194649 36.341692 60.039307 98.618853 167.150167
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.500807 12.748252 21.396320 36.850424 64.159791 111.113684 199.458090
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.398724 11.369252 19.945692 36.021686 65.896951 119.980406 227.445669
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.569741 10.323743 18.893457 35.708131 68.503419 130.895349 261.587514
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.097578 9.846059 18.779346 37.110173 74.601538 149.505823 314.821785
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.750323 9.546823 18.950049 39.100134 82.257516 172.692691 382.748499
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.267690 8.918273 18.413132 39.650496 87.264521 191.882856 447.599588
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.697821 8.014470 17.168811 38.485341 88.379446 203.028269 497.150161
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.209313 7.202845 15.986091 37.245549 89.115467 213.578900 548.227815
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.868923 6.663377 15.312988 37.063371 92.354605 230.847119 621.025147
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.614054 6.278019 14.927778 37.508070 97.273278 253.444952 714.250726
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.364153 5.861918 14.400039 37.502281 101.064964 274.067475 807.851227
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.217860 5.677447 14.409875 38.903815 108.976528 307.705442 949.242581
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.032629 5.361506 14.032712 39.194573 113.881907 334.116612 1076.331767
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.810063 4.908988 13.220762 38.114231 114.592704 348.486104 1169.220760
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.639051 4.567845 12.651852 37.627367 117.004793 368.667020 1287.801273
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.553329 4.451845 12.692092 38.980324 125.513676 410.305489 1494.648775